Our latest Small Data Forum podcast focuses on recent surprise political outcomes and the mechanisms at play: the psychology of predictions, the new phenomenon of fake news, echo chamber effects and the way data was analysed and interpreted.
Recent expressions of democratic political will – the UK referendum on EU membership, the US presidential election – have surprised most observers and commentators.
Both outcomes, ie Brexit and Trump, were not what most of the polling data indicated. This episode of the Small Data Forum is asking whether we should and could have seen this coming.
Continue reading “04: Brexit, Trump and the challenge of better forecasting with better data”